← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Feb 17, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 45% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Brescia win | 25% | 3.93 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Brescia −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Gabriele Moncini · Brescia |
| 26' | 🟨 | Ebrima Darboe · Sampdoria |
| 52' | 🟨 | Mohamed Fares · Brescia |
| 62' | ⚽ | Pajtim Kasami · Sampdoria |
| 90' | ⚽ | Davide Adorni · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days | 261.00 | 108.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 1.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1463.30 | 1459.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.57 | 12.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.68 |
| league points | 29.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 41.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | -1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 24.63 | 27.59 |
| state index | -0.81 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | -0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |