← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Feb 17, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Perenzoni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lecco win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Cosenza win | 32% | 3.13 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lecco +0 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Cosenza +0 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Gennaro Tutino · Cosenza |
| 19' | 🟨 | Marco Frigerio · Lecco |
| 22' | 🟨 | Elio Capradossi · Lecco |
| 27' | 🟨 | Giovanni Crociata · Lecco |
| 38' | 🟨 | Bright Gyamfi · Cosenza |
| 42' | 🟨 | Franco Lepore · Lecco |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Gennaro Tutino · Cosenza |
| 54' | ⚽ | Gianluca Frabotta · Cosenza |
| 61' | ⚽ (og) | Michael Venturi · Lecco |
| 65' | 🟨 | Michele Camporese · Cosenza |
| 72' | 🟨 | Gianluca Frabotta · Cosenza |
| 83' | 🟨 | Alessandro Sersanti · Lecco |
| 87' | 🟨 | Michael Venturi · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 25 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 13 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lecco | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| venue | Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi |
| coach days | 16.00 | 231.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1388.56 | 1427.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -63.78 | 30.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| league points | 20.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | 0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| state index | -1.40 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |