← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Feb 17, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Monaldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
| Ternana win | 24% | 4.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Reggiana −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.75 |
| Over | 44% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Filippo Sgarbi · Ternana |
| 17' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Lucchesi · Ternana |
| 18' | 🟨 | Cedric Gondo · Reggiana |
| 36' | 🟨 | Edoardo Pieragnolo · Reggiana |
| 47' | 🟨 | Paolo Rozzio · Reggiana |
| 60' | 🟨 | Filippo Sgarbi · Ternana |
| 66' | 🟨 | Antony Iannarilli · Ternana |
| 75' | ⚽ | Antonio Raimondo · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 261.00 | 108.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1430.06 | 1396.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.38 | -4.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | -0.99 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.70 |
| league points | 30.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.43 | -1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.71 | 25.20 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |