← Serie B 2023 · Fri, Feb 16, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Marchetti
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 45% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Ascoli win | 26% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese +0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Ascoli +0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.65 |
| Over | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Daniel Ciofani · Cremonese |
| 12' | 🟨 | Luca Ravanelli · Cremonese |
| 29' | 🟨 | Luca Zanimacchia · Cremonese |
| 48' | 🟨 | Franco Vázquez · Cremonese |
| 70' | 🟨 | Sauli Väisänen · Ascoli |
| 80' | 🟨 | Marcello Falzerano · Ascoli |
| 85' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Tacchio · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 107.00 | 168.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1428.67 | 1580.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.47 | 19.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 50.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.66 |
| league points | 22.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 6.18 | 6.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.23 | 0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 29.22 | 28.87 |
| state index | -0.28 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.23 | 0.85 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |