← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Feb 11, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: F. Dionisi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana win | 36% | 2.83 |
| Spezia win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Ternana +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Gregorio Luperini · Ternana |
| 36' | 🟨 | Francesco Cassata · Spezia |
| 49' | 🟨 | Aleš Matějů · Spezia |
| 89' | ⚽ | Filippo Di Stefano · Ternana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Filippo Di Stefano · Ternana |
| 90' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Di Serio · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 23 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 102.00 | 102.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1396.40 | 1455.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.68 | -15.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.82 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.74 |
| league points | 21.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.60 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.30 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.61 | 26.70 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.75 | -0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |