← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Feb 10, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: N. Baroni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Sampdoria win | 26% | 4.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Sampdoria −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Facundo González · Sampdoria |
| 9' | 🟨 | Hjörtur Hermannsson · Pisa |
| 24' | 🟨 | Matteo Ricci · Sampdoria |
| 39' | 🟨 | Simone Canestrelli · Pisa |
| 42' | 🟨 | Simone Giordano · Sampdoria |
| 45' | 🟨 | Simone Giordano · Sampdoria |
| 45' | 🟥 | Simone Giordano · Sampdoria |
| 58' | ⚽ | Antonio Caracciolo · Pisa |
| 70' | ⚽ | Tommaso Barbieri · Pisa |
| 72' | 🟨 | Marius Marin · Pisa |
| 90' | 🟨 | Francesco Conti · Sampdoria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 224.00 | 254.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1463.59 | 1476.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.33 | -15.68 |
| eye test v1 | 0.69 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.80 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.60 |
| league points | 27.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.79 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.63 | 24.19 |
| state index | -0.14 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |