← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Feb 10, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: F. Cosso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 50% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Lecco win | 22% | 4.77 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Lecco −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Ahmad Benali · Bari |
| 26' | ⚽ | Ahmad Benali · Bari |
| 30' | 🟨 | Davide Guglielmotti · Lecco |
| 41' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Sibilli · Bari |
| 53' | ⚽ | George Pușcaș · Bari |
| 69' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Sibilli · Bari |
| 81' | ⚽ | Andrija Novakovich · Lecco |
| 83' | 🟨 | Giacomo Ricci · Bari |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alessandro Sersanti · Lecco |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Lecco |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| coach days | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1487.22 | 1397.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.21 | -45.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.57 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | — |
| league points | 27.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 7.82 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 0.87 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.54 | 28.17 |
| state index | -0.55 | -1.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |