← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Feb 10, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Minelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 40% | 2.58 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Sudtirol win | 29% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol +0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Venezia FC +0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Joel Pohjanpalo · Venezia FC |
| 18' | 🟨 | Andrea Masiello · Sudtirol |
| 20' | 🟨 | Silvio Merkaj · Sudtirol |
| 57' | 🟨 | Fabian Tait · Sudtirol |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jesse Joronen · Venezia FC |
| 75' | 🟨 | Andrea Masiello · Sudtirol |
| 75' | 🟥 | Andrea Masiello · Sudtirol |
| 81' | ⚽ | Francesco Zampano · Venezia FC |
| 84' | 🟨 | Emanuele Pecorino · Sudtirol |
| 85' | 🟨 | Giorgio Altare · Venezia FC |
| 87' | 🟨 | Andrea Cagnano · Sudtirol |
| 89' | 🟨 | Nicola Rauti · Sudtirol |
| 90' | ⚽ | Joel Pohjanpalo · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 7 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 71.00 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| 466.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.38 |
| elo | 1474.57 | 1515.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.44 | -12.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.78 | 0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.37 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.71 |
| league points | 27.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.78 |
| skill v1 | -0.51 | 1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |