← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Feb 10, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Camplone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 43% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.25 |
| Cosenza win | 26% | 3.82 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena −0.25 | 51% | 1.95 |
| Cosenza −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.49 |
| Over | 36% | 2.77 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Ettore Gliozzi · Modena |
| 19' | 🟨 | Fabio Ponsi · Modena |
| 23' | ⚽ | Gennaro Tutino · Cosenza |
| 29' | 🟨 | Simone Mazzocchi · Cosenza |
| 33' | 🟨 | Gianluca Frabotta · Cosenza |
| 67' | 🟨 | Giovanni Zaro · Modena |
| 69' | 🟨 | Federico Zuccon · Cosenza |
| 86' | 🟥 | Manuel Marras · Cosenza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alessandro Pio Riccio · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Braglia |
| coach days | 254.00 | 224.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1458.44 | 1424.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.94 | 18.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.68 |
| league points | 32.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.05 | 26.84 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |