← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Feb 10, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Fabbri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 57% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 4.00 |
| Reggiana win | 18% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Reggiana −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Paolo Ghiglione · Cremonese |
| 19' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Abrego · Cremonese |
| 34' | 🟨 | Matteo Bianchetti · Cremonese |
| 54' | 🟨 | César Falletti · Cremonese |
| 57' | ⚽ | Alessandro Marcandalli · Reggiana |
| 70' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · Cremonese |
| 73' | 🟨 | Filippo Melegoni · Reggiana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Zan Majer · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟥 | Dennis Johnsen · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 20 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 162.00 | 254.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 3.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1586.59 | 1424.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.38 | 33.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.06 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.10 | 48.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.72 |
| league points | 44.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.91 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.68 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.41 | 26.19 |
| state index | 0.71 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.73 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |