← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Feb 10, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 43% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
| Cittadella win | 26% | 3.86 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Cittadella +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Stefano Negro · Cittadella |
| 8' | ⚽ | Adrián Bernabé · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 16' | 🟨 | Nahuel Estévez · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 37' | 🟨 | Matteo Angeli · Cittadella |
| 38' | ⚽ | Hernani · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 45' | ⚽ | Stefano Negro · Cittadella |
| 56' | 🟨 | Enrico Del Prato · Parma Calcio 1913 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 23 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Parma Calcio 1913 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 954.00 | 558.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1468.25 | 1600.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.19 | 3.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | 0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 47.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.67 |
| league points | 36.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 2.09 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | — | 27.47 |
| state index | -0.49 | 0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |