← Serie B 2023 · Fri, Feb 9, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Rutella
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Brescia win | 19% | 5.28 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Brescia −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Gabriel Strefezza · Como 1907 |
| 23' | 🟨 | Giacomo Olzer · Brescia |
| 36' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Paghera · Brescia |
| 52' | 🟨 | Marco Curto · Como 1907 |
| 70' | 🟨 | Gennaro Borrelli · Brescia |
| 87' | 🟨 | Nicolas Galazzi · Brescia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alessio Iovine · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 70.00 | 100.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 1.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1509.30 | 1466.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.51 | 7.69 |
| eye test v1 | 1.19 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| league points | 42.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 6.18 | 6.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | -0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.03 | 27.02 |
| state index | 0.32 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |