← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Feb 3, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: L. Zufferli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 53% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.85 |
| Lecco win | 22% | 4.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lecco +0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Cremonese +0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Luka Lochoshvili · Cremonese |
| 29' | 🟨 | Valentin Antov · Cremonese |
| 44' | 🟨 | Giorgio Galli · Lecco |
| 54' | ⚽ (pen) | Massimo Coda · Cremonese |
| 58' | 🟨 | Mario Ierardi · Lecco |
| 64' | 🟨 | Luca Zanimacchia · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lecco | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi |
| coach days | 2.00 | 155.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1404.26 | 1579.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.94 | 19.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | 0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 48.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.88 |
| league points | 20.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.21 | 0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.55 | 27.84 |
| state index | -0.87 | 0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | 0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |