← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Feb 3, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 40% | 2.41 |
| Ternana win | 31% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana +0.25 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Como 1907 +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.82 |
| Over | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | ⚽ | Gabriel Strefezza · Como 1907 |
| 56' | 🟨 | Niklas Pyyhtiä · Ternana |
| 67' | 🟨 | Gabriel Strefezza · Como 1907 |
| 85' | 🟨 | Edoardo Goldaniga · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 28 |
| 1 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.52 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 94.00 | 64.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1405.40 | 1500.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.58 | -1.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | 1.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.52 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| league points | 21.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.97 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 25.48 | 26.44 |
| state index | -0.45 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.75 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |