← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Feb 3, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana win | 43% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Feralpisalo win | 27% | 3.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Feralpisalo −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Reggiana −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟥 | Luca Fiordilino · Feralpisalo |
| 32' | 🟨 | Natan Girma · Reggiana |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alessandro Bianco · Reggiana |
| 45' | 🟨 | Karlo Butić · Feralpisalo |
| 45' | 🟨 | Karlo Butić · Feralpisalo |
| 45' | 🟥 | Karlo Butić · Feralpisalo |
| 79' | ⚽ | Elvis Kabashi · Reggiana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Ceppitelli · Feralpisalo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Davide Balestrero · Feralpisalo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 27 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Feralpisalo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 247.00 | 125.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1425.93 | 1432.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.27 | 39.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | 0.89 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.00 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.60 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| league points | 28.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 26.48 | 26.34 |
| state index | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | -0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |