← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Feb 3, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 42% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Catanzaro win | 29% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Catanzaro −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Pietro Iemmello · Catanzaro |
| 26' | 🟨 | Mario Šitum · Catanzaro |
| 32' | 🟨 | Tommaso Biasci · Catanzaro |
| 34' | ⚽ | Filip Jagiełło · Spezia |
| 54' | 🟨 | Davide Veroli · Catanzaro |
| 73' | 🟨 | Jacopo Petriccione · Catanzaro |
| 81' | 🟨 | Jari Vandeputte · Catanzaro |
| 83' | 🟨 | Nicolò Bertola · Spezia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Moro · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Picco |
| coach days | 94.00 | 824.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1459.81 | 1379.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.46 | -13.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| league points | 20.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 86.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 61.80 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.34 | 1.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.17 | 28.51 |
| state index | -0.69 | -0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | 1.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |