← Serie B 2023 · Fri, Feb 2, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Tremolada
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 54% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.67 |
| Bari win | 19% | 5.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Bari −0.75 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.89 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Gennaro Acampora · Bari |
| 44' | ⚽ | Filippo Ranocchia · Palermo |
| 67' | 🟨 | Federico Di Francesco · Palermo |
| 71' | ⚽ | Pietro Ceccaroni · Palermo |
| 73' | 🟨 | Raffaele Pucino · Bari |
| 80' | ⚽ | Jacopo Segre · Palermo |
| 84' | 🟨 | Simon Graves Jensen · Palermo |
| 89' | 🟨 | Aljoša Vasić · Palermo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
| 9 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 550.00 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.56 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1527.74 | 1500.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.30 | -18.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 36.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.42 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.40 | 26.93 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |