← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Jan 27, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Minelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Feralpisalo win | 46% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 |
| Lecco win | 26% | 3.76 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Feralpisalo −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Lecco −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Bruno Martella · Feralpisalo |
| 28' | 🟨 | Bruno Martella · Feralpisalo |
| 51' | 🟨 | Giorgio Galli · Lecco |
| 63' | 🟨 | Federico Bergonzi · Feralpisalo |
| 66' | ⚽ | Mattia Felici · Feralpisalo |
| 67' | 🟨 | Mattia Felici · Feralpisalo |
| 70' | ⚽ | Karlo Butić · Feralpisalo |
| 79' | ⚽ | Nicolò Buso · Lecco |
| 86' | ⚽ | Karlo Butić · Feralpisalo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mattia Tonetto · Feralpisalo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feralpisalo | Lecco |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Leonardo Garilli |
| coach days | 118.00 | 118.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1416.97 | 1419.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.96 | -31.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.59 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| league points | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.81 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.93 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.03 | 28.08 |
| state index | 0.21 | -0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.18 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |