← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Jan 27, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Mariani
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 44% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Spezia win | 27% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Spezia −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.73 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Rachid Kouda · Spezia |
| 20' | ⚽ | Rachid Kouda · Spezia |
| 33' | ⚽ (pen) | Ernesto Torregrossa · Pisa |
| 36' | ⚽ | Daniele Verde · Spezia |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Daniele Verde · Spezia |
| 47' | 🟨 | Tomás Esteves · Pisa |
| 57' | 🟨 | Nícolas · Pisa |
| 76' | ⚽ | Nicholas Bonfanti · Pisa |
| 80' | 🟨 | Antonio Caracciolo · Pisa |
| 82' | 🟨 | Simone Canestrelli · Pisa |
| 87' | 🟨 | Gaetano Masucci · Pisa |
| 89' | 🟨 | Lisandru Tramoni · Pisa |
| 90' | 🟨 | Salvatore Esposito · Spezia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Niccolò Pietra · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 27 | Shots | 6 |
| 12 | On target | 3 |
| 14 | Corners | 0 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 210.00 | 87.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1475.43 | 1447.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.96 | -29.16 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.80 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 26.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 0.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.93 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.67 | 25.42 |
| state index | 0.09 | -0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.73 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |