← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Jan 27, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Di Marco
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 49% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.16 |
| Reggiana win | 21% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Bari −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Riccardo Fiamozzi · Reggiana |
| 39' | 🟨 | Janis Antiste · Reggiana |
| 40' | 🟨 | Alessandro Bianco · Reggiana |
| 61' | 🟨 | Ahmad Benali · Bari |
| 83' | ⚽ | Alessandro Bianco · Reggiana |
| 89' | 🟨 | Marco Nasti · Bari |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| coach days | 118.00 | 240.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1522.51 | 1403.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.42 | 19.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 27.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.34 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.94 | 27.55 |
| state index | 0.06 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |