← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Jan 27, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Collu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 54% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Ascoli win | 18% | 5.86 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Como 1907 −0.75 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.65 |
| Over | 41% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Bellusci · Ascoli |
| 33' | 🟨 | Oliver Abildgaard · Como 1907 |
| 34' | 🟨 | Samuel Giovane · Ascoli |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alessandro Bellemo · Como 1907 |
| 60' | 🟥 | Cas Odenthal · Como 1907 |
| 62' | 🟨 | Luca Valzania · Ascoli |
| 76' | 🟨 | Jeremiah Streng · Ascoli |
| 82' | ⚽ | Pedro Mendes · Ascoli |
| 89' | ⚽ (og) | Tommaso Cassandro · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 57.00 | 87.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 3.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1521.51 | 1428.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.54 | 7.86 |
| eye test v1 | 1.29 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| league points | 39.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 65.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | -1.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.90 | 29.39 |
| state index | 0.31 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | -1.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |