← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Jan 27, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Fabbri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 60% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.28 |
| Ternana win | 17% | 5.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana −1 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Venezia FC −1 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | 🟨 | Tanner Tessmann · Venezia FC |
| 60' | 🟨 | Marin Šverko · Venezia FC |
| 84' | ⚽ | Gianluca Busio · Venezia FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrea Favilli · Ternana |
| 90' | 🟥 | Andrea Favilli · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 452.00 | 87.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1532.66 | 1410.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.11 | 16.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.68 |
| league points | 38.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.80 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.81 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.29 | -0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.06 | 24.91 |
| state index | -0.20 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.11 | -0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |