← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Jan 21, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Bari win | 28% | 3.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Ascoli −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.43 |
| Over | 32% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ (pen) | Giuseppe Sibilli · Bari |
| 15' | 🟨 | Marco Nasti · Bari |
| 20' | ⚽ | Malcom Edjouma · Bari |
| 30' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Ascoli |
| 33' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Tacchio · Ascoli |
| 37' | 🟨 | Malcom Edjouma · Bari |
| 39' | 🟨 | Yayah Kallon · Bari |
| 64' | 🟨 | Ahmad Benali · Bari |
| 71' | 🟨 | Eric Botteghin · Ascoli |
| 71' | 🟨 | Mehdi Dorval · Bari |
| 72' | ⚽ (pen) | Pedro Mendes · Ascoli |
| 79' | ⚽ | Pedro Mendes · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Patrizio Masini · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 25 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 81.00 | 112.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1427.33 | 1523.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.91 | 2.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| league points | 18.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.20 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.80 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.99 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 29.36 | 26.66 |
| state index | -0.32 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.37 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |