← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Jan 20, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: K. Bonacina
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 46% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Modena win | 25% | 4.06 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo −0.25 | 54% | 1.77 |
| Modena −0.25 | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Fabio Ponsi · Modena |
| 8' | ⚽ | Jacopo Segre · Palermo |
| 22' | 🟨 | Luca Tremolada · Modena |
| 31' | ⚽ | Thomas Battistella · Modena |
| 35' | ⚽ | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 38' | 🟨 | Antonio Pergreffi · Modena |
| 45' | 🟨 | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 59' | ⚽ | Fabio Abiuso · Modena |
| 76' | 🟨 | Luca Strizzolo · Modena |
| 84' | 🟨 | Fabio Abiuso · Modena |
| 88' | ⚽ | Edoardo Soleri · Palermo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Edoardo Soleri · Palermo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 537.00 | 233.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1521.09 | 1441.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.39 | -28.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 47.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.59 |
| league points | 32.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.46 | 27.68 |
| state index | 0.00 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |