← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Jan 20, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro win | 36% | 2.80 |
| Feralpisalo win | 34% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Feralpisalo +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.78 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Christos Kourfalidis · Feralpisalo |
| 21' | 🟨 | Mattia Felici · Feralpisalo |
| 21' | 🟨 | Davide Di Molfetta · Feralpisalo |
| 38' | 🟨 | Luca Verna · Catanzaro |
| 60' | ⚽ | Mattia Compagnon · Feralpisalo |
| 68' | 🟨 | Simone Pontisso · Catanzaro |
| 76' | 🟨 | Jari Vandeputte · Catanzaro |
| 82' | 🟨 | Davide Veroli · Catanzaro |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrea La Mantia · Feralpisalo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrea Fulignati · Catanzaro |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Andrea La Mantia · Feralpisalo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feralpisalo | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Leonardo Garilli |
| coach days | 111.00 | 810.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1403.07 | 1390.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.72 | 6.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | 0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.69 |
| league points | 14.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 85.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.70 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.64 | 1.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.14 | 28.97 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.85 | 1.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |