← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Jan 20, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 38% | 2.63 |
| Reggiana win | 31% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 +0 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Reggiana +0 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Cedric Gondo · Reggiana |
| 21' | 🟨 | Oliver Abildgaard · Como 1907 |
| 37' | ⚽ | Alessandro Gabrielloni · Como 1907 |
| 45' | ⚽ | Patrick Cutrone · Como 1907 |
| 48' | 🟨 | Moutir Chajia · Como 1907 |
| 50' | 🟨 | Tommaso Cassandro · Como 1907 |
| 54' | 🟨 | Manolo Portanova · Reggiana |
| 59' | 🟨 | Natan Girma · Reggiana |
| 65' | 🟨 | Luca Cigarini · Reggiana |
| 67' | ⚽ | Natan Girma · Reggiana |
| 70' | 🟨 | Alessandro Gabrielloni · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 233.00 | 50.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1402.09 | 1523.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.61 | 12.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.90 | 1.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.79 |
| league points | 24.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.51 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 26.57 | 26.32 |
| state index | -0.22 | 0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |