← Serie B 2023 · Fri, Jan 19, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: E. Feliciani
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| Sampdoria win | 27% | 3.76 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 +0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Sampdoria +0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.83 |
| Over | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | ⚽ (pen) | Dennis Man · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 44' | ⚽ | Valentin Mihăilă · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 70' | ⚽ | Nahuel Estévez · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 74' | 🟨 | Valerio Verre · Sampdoria |
| 78' | 🟨 | Leandro Chichizola · Parma Calcio 1913 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Parma Calcio 1913 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 232.00 | 536.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1480.49 | 1603.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.17 | 3.65 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | 0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.90 | 44.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 25.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 5.18 | 5.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 2.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 17.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | 0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.44 | 25.31 |
| state index | -0.06 | 0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |