← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Jan 14, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: F. Fourneau
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 57% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Ascoli win | 17% | 6.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 −0.75 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Ascoli −0.75 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Patrizio Masini · Ascoli |
| 50' | 🟨 | Valentin Mihăilă · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 60' | ⚽ | Eric Botteghin · Ascoli |
| 65' | 🟨 | Gianluca Di Chiara · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 70' | ⚽ (og) | Emiliano Viviano · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 73' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Bellusci · Ascoli |
| 80' | 🟨 | Danilo Quaranta · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Bellusci · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟥 | Giuseppe Bellusci · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Parma Calcio 1913 | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Ennio Tardini |
| coach days | 531.00 | 74.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1609.23 | 1421.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.16 | -17.78 |
| eye test v1 | 0.79 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.90 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.73 |
| league points | 41.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 62.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 40.00 |
| rest days | 19.05 | 19.05 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.16 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.66 | -1.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.31 | 28.93 |
| state index | 0.83 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -1.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |