← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Jan 14, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: P. Tremolada
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 62% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Cosenza win | 14% | 7.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −1 | 50% | 1.97 |
| Cosenza −1 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.89 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Luca Ravanelli · Cremonese |
| 23' | 🟨 | Mateusz Praszelik · Cosenza |
| 53' | 🟨 | Michael Venturi · Cosenza |
| 55' | 🟨 | Tommaso D'Orazio · Cosenza |
| 76' | ⚽ | Valentin Antov · Cremonese |
| 79' | 🟨 | Michele Collocolo · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟨 | David Okereke · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Michele Camporese · Cosenza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aldo Florenzi · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 135.00 | 197.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1561.61 | 1396.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.97 | -30.31 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 51.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | 0.71 |
| league points | 32.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 18.93 | 19.05 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.01 | 26.02 |
| state index | 0.44 | -0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |