← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Jan 13, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Marcenaro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol win | 39% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Feralpisalo win | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Feralpisalo −0.25 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Sudtirol −0.25 | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.78 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Daniele Casiraghi · Sudtirol |
| 34' | 🟨 | Bruno Martella · Feralpisalo |
| 53' | 🟨 | Luca Fiordilino · Feralpisalo |
| 63' | 🟨 | Jérémie Broh · Sudtirol |
| 73' | 🟨 | Davide Balestrero · Feralpisalo |
| 76' | ⚽ | Daniele Casiraghi · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Feralpisalo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| coach days | 43.00 | 104.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1479.45 | 1409.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.61 | 12.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.30 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.51 | 0.62 |
| league points | 20.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 42.20 |
| rest days | 17.96 | 17.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 0.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | -1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.85 | 26.19 |
| state index | -0.61 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | -1.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |