← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Jan 13, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Baroni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 47% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Spezia win | 25% | 4.02 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia −0.5 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Como 1907 −0.5 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.83 |
| Over | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Lucas Da Cunha · Como 1907 |
| 37' | ⚽ | Patrick Cutrone · Como 1907 |
| 59' | ⚽ | Alessandro Gabrielloni · Como 1907 |
| 63' | ⚽ | Lucas Da Cunha · Como 1907 |
| 72' | 🟨 | Oliver Abildgaard · Como 1907 |
| 79' | 🟨 | Kelvin Amian · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 26 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 43.00 | 73.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1509.78 | 1469.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.03 | -4.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.64 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.76 |
| league points | 35.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 17.96 | 17.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.44 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.45 | 24.73 |
| state index | 0.27 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |