← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Jan 13, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Palermo win | 29% | 3.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Cittadella −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.71 |
| Over | 43% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Luca Pandolfi · Cittadella |
| 30' | 🟨 | Leo Štulac · Palermo |
| 50' | 🟨 | Leo Štulac · Palermo |
| 50' | 🟥 | Leo Štulac · Palermo |
| 80' | ⚽ | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 926.00 | 530.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1497.93 | 1535.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.90 | 5.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | 0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.40 | 50.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.70 |
| league points | 33.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 17.96 | 17.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.85 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 28.79 | 27.26 |
| state index | 0.60 | -0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.66 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |