← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Jan 13, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Perenzoni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 45% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Ternana win | 26% | 3.99 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Ternana −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.78 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Yayah Kallon · Bari |
| 41' | ⚽ | Giacomo Ricci · Bari |
| 43' | ⚽ | Marco Nasti · Bari |
| 55' | 🟨 | Jakub Łabojko · Ternana |
| 71' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Lucchesi · Ternana |
| 81' | 🟨 | Antonio Raimondo · Ternana |
| 83' | ⚽ | Mehdi Dorval · Bari |
| 86' | ⚽ | Salim Diakité · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| coach days | 104.00 | 73.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1515.51 | 1401.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.34 | 35.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | 0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 23.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 17.73 | 17.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | -0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.20 | 26.07 |
| state index | -0.15 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | -1.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |