← Serie B 2023 · Fri, Jan 12, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Maresca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Lecco win | 20% | 5.07 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lecco −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Catanzaro −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Luca Verna · Catanzaro |
| 19' | 🟨 | Mats Lemmens · Lecco |
| 22' | 🟨 | Stefano Scognamillo · Catanzaro |
| 25' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Di Stefano · Lecco |
| 29' | ⚽ | Mats Lemmens · Lecco |
| 48' | ⚽ | Dimitrios Sounas · Catanzaro |
| 51' | 🟨 | Dimitrios Sounas · Catanzaro |
| 52' | ⚽ | Pietro Iemmello · Catanzaro |
| 55' | ⚽ | Andrija Novakovich · Lecco |
| 65' | ⚽ | Dimitrios Sounas · Catanzaro |
| 72' | 🟨 | Luka Krajnc · Catanzaro |
| 88' | ⚽ | Tommaso Biasci · Catanzaro |
| 90' | 🟨 | Giovanni Crociata · Lecco |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 20 | Shots | 14 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Lecco |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| coach days | 802.00 | 103.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1374.73 | 1452.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.12 | -0.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| league points | 30.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 17.33 | 17.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.17 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.16 | 28.14 |
| state index | -0.37 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.19 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |