← Serie B 2023 · Tue, Dec 26, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Ferrieri Caputi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Palermo win | 33% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Palermo +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Zan Majer · Cremonese |
| 7' | ⚽ | Paolo Ghiglione · Cremonese |
| 20' | ⚽ | Ionuț Nedelcearu · Palermo |
| 32' | ⚽ | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 40' | 🟨 | Simon Graves Jensen · Palermo |
| 72' | ⚽ | Federico Di Francesco · Palermo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pietro Ceccaroni · Palermo |
| 90' | 🟨 | David Okereke · Cremonese |
| 90' | ⚽ | Leo Štulac · Palermo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 17 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 512.00 | 116.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1525.52 | 1571.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.87 | 10.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.72 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.95 |
| league points | 29.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 3.17 | 3.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | 0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.70 | 27.83 |
| state index | -0.18 | 0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | 0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |