← Serie B 2023 · Tue, Dec 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Di Marco
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza win | 35% | 2.98 |
| Como 1907 win | 34% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 +0 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Cosenza +0 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.59 |
| Over | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Fabio Rispoli · Como 1907 |
| 23' | ⚽ | Gennaro Tutino · Cosenza |
| 30' | 🟨 | Alessandro Micai · Cosenza |
| 39' | ⚽ | Patrick Cutrone · Como 1907 |
| 48' | 🟨 | Alessandro Fontanarosa · Cosenza |
| 50' | ⚽ | Simone Verdi · Como 1907 |
| 84' | 🟨 | Tommaso D'Orazio · Cosenza |
| 88' | 🟨 | Tommaso Arrigoni · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 4 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 178.00 | 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 1.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1405.59 | 1500.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.66 | -1.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| league points | 21.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 2.95 | 3.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.65 | 26.40 |
| state index | -0.83 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |