← Serie B 2023 · Tue, Dec 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Monaldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lecco win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Sudtirol win | 26% | 3.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lecco −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Sudtirol −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.58 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Emanuele Pecorino · Sudtirol |
| 41' | 🟨 | Franco Lepore · Lecco |
| 45' | 🟨 | Matteo Battistini · Lecco |
| 52' | ⚽ (pen) | Daniele Casiraghi · Sudtirol |
| 54' | 🟨 | Luca Marrone · Lecco |
| 56' | 🟨 | Nicola Rauti · Sudtirol |
| 59' | 🟨 | Daouda Peeters · Sudtirol |
| 63' | ⚽ | Andrija Novakovich · Lecco |
| 65' | 🟨 | Alessandro Sersanti · Lecco |
| 76' | ⚽ | Andrija Novakovich · Lecco |
| 80' | 🟨 | Duccio Degli Innocenti · Lecco |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lecco | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi |
| coach days | 86.00 | 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1442.73 | 1489.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.49 | -25.39 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 42.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.60 |
| league points | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 2.95 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.75 | 28.54 |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |