← Serie B 2023 · Tue, Dec 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Santoro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
| Feralpisalo win | 24% | 4.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Feralpisalo +0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Venezia FC +0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Antonio Candela · Venezia FC |
| 38' | ⚽ | Mattia Compagnon · Feralpisalo |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Joel Pohjanpalo · Venezia FC |
| 47' | 🟨 | Christos Kourfalidis · Feralpisalo |
| 54' | ⚽ | Mattia Compagnon · Feralpisalo |
| 65' | 🟨 | Mattia Zennaro · Feralpisalo |
| 75' | ⚽ | Giorgio Altare · Venezia FC |
| 87' | 🟨 | Denis Cheryshev · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feralpisalo | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Leonardo Garilli |
| coach days | 86.00 | 420.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1407.34 | 1543.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.29 | 2.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| league points | 13.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 2.95 | 3.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.72 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.88 | 1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.43 | 26.21 |
| state index | -0.35 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.98 | 0.77 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |