← Serie B 2023 · Tue, Dec 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 45% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
| Brescia win | 26% | 3.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 +0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Brescia +0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Adrián Bernabé · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 24' | ⚽ | Dennis Man · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 31' | 🟨 | Andrea Cistana · Brescia |
| 60' | 🟨 | Flavio Bianchi · Brescia |
| 65' | 🟨 | Nicolas Galazzi · Brescia |
| 67' | 🟨 | Valentin Mihăilă · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 71' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Paghera · Brescia |
| 77' | 🟨 | Alessandro Circati · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 86' | 🟨 | Gennaro Borrelli · Brescia |
| 86' | 🟨 | Adrian Benedyczak · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 0 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Parma Calcio 1913 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 55.00 | 512.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 2.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1458.46 | 1597.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 47.15 | 1.39 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | 0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.50 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | — |
| league points | 25.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 2.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 17.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | 1.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.88 | 25.87 |
| state index | 0.28 | 0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |