← Serie B 2023 · Tue, Dec 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Bonacina
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana win | 42% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Pisa win | 28% | 3.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Pisa −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Marius Marin · Pisa |
| 13' | 🟨 | Gabriele Piccinini · Pisa |
| 23' | ⚽ | Lisandru Tramoni · Pisa |
| 36' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Lucchesi · Ternana |
| 37' | 🟨 | Alessandro Arena · Pisa |
| 40' | 🟨 | César Falletti · Ternana |
| 43' | 🟨 | Jakub Łabojko · Ternana |
| 46' | ⚽ | Frederik Sørensen · Ternana |
| 53' | 🟨 | Tiago Casasola · Ternana |
| 64' | 🟨 | Salim Diakité · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 10 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 55.00 | 178.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1401.08 | 1462.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.83 | -18.47 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | -0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 48.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| league points | 17.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 2.95 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.46 | 1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.25 | 29.02 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.92 | 0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |