← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Dec 23, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: S. Sozza
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 48% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
| Ascoli win | 22% | 4.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Pisa −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Marco D'Alessandro · Pisa |
| 15' | 🟨 | Stefano Moreo · Pisa |
| 44' | ⚽ | Jan Mlakar · Pisa |
| 45' | 🟨 | Antonio Caracciolo · Pisa |
| 55' | 🟨 | Tommaso Barbieri · Pisa |
| 66' | 🟨 | Samuel Giovane · Ascoli |
| 69' | 🟨 | Danilo Quaranta · Ascoli |
| 76' | 🟨 | Gabriele Piccinini · Pisa |
| 81' | 🟨 | Patrizio Masini · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 175.00 | 52.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1454.70 | 1428.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.42 | -21.06 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.60 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| league points | 18.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 64.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.80 | 38.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.06 | -1.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 29.29 | 28.45 |
| state index | -0.42 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.82 | -1.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |