← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Dec 23, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 58% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.77 |
| Feralpisalo win | 17% | 5.91 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Feralpisalo −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Luca Ceppitelli · Feralpisalo |
| 13' | ⚽ | Federico Bergonzi · Feralpisalo |
| 15' | 🟨 | Valerio Verre · Sampdoria |
| 22' | ⚽ | Karlo Butić · Feralpisalo |
| 27' | ⚽ | Sebastiano Esposito · Sampdoria |
| 32' | 🟥 | Pajtim Kasami · Sampdoria |
| 42' | 🟨 | Karlo Butić · Feralpisalo |
| 52' | 🟨 | Davide Balestrero · Feralpisalo |
| 54' | ⚽ | Nicola Murru · Sampdoria |
| 60' | 🟨 | Andrea La Mantia · Feralpisalo |
| 71' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 21 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Feralpisalo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| 81' | ⚽ | Mattia Zennaro · Feralpisalo |
| coach days | 205.00 | 83.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1506.57 | 1392.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.21 | -7.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.64 |
| league points | 24.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 0.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | -0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 24.67 | 26.03 |
| state index | 0.54 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |