← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Dec 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Piccinini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro win | 47% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Brescia win | 23% | 4.57 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Catanzaro −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Ambrosino · Catanzaro |
| 13' | ⚽ | Jari Vandeputte · Catanzaro |
| 47' | ⚽ | Birkir Bjarnason · Brescia |
| 50' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Dickmann · Brescia |
| 58' | ⚽ | Dimitri Bisoli · Brescia |
| 72' | 🟨 | Matteo Stoppa · Catanzaro |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dimitri Bisoli · Brescia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Giacomo Olzer · Brescia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Flavio Bianchi · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| coach days | 782.00 | 52.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1392.94 | 1448.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.66 | 40.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 47.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.66 |
| league points | 30.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 6.95 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.86 | -0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.27 | 25.88 |
| state index | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.84 | -0.85 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |