← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Dec 23, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Pairetto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Palermo win | 26% | 3.83 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Palermo −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Federico Di Francesco · Palermo |
| 41' | 🟨 | Marco Sala · Como 1907 |
| 46' | ⚽ | Patrick Cutrone · Como 1907 |
| 48' | 🟨 | Ionuț Nedelcearu · Palermo |
| 53' | 🟨 | Ivan Marconi · Palermo |
| 58' | ⚽ | Alessandro Gabrielloni · Como 1907 |
| 63' | ⚽ | Jacopo Segre · Palermo |
| 66' | 🟨 | Patrick Cutrone · Como 1907 |
| 67' | 🟨 | Marco Curto · Como 1907 |
| 81' | 🟨 | Lucas Da Cunha · Como 1907 |
| 82' | ⚽ | Simon Graves Jensen · Palermo |
| 90' | 🟥 | Ivan Marconi · Palermo |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Simone Verdi · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 22.00 | 509.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1501.86 | 1524.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.84 | -22.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.73 |
| league points | 31.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.84 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.53 | 28.37 |
| state index | 0.17 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |