← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Dec 23, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Dionisi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Ternana win | 17% | 6.15 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana −1 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 −1 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Antonio Raimondo · Ternana |
| 10' | ⚽ | Dennis Man · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 14' | 🟨 | Jakub Łabojko · Ternana |
| 52' | ⚽ | Wylan Cyprien · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 55' | ⚽ | Adrián Bernabé · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 68' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Lucchesi · Ternana |
| 88' | 🟨 | Iulius Marginean · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Parma Calcio 1913 | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Ennio Tardini |
| coach days | 509.00 | 52.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1591.70 | 1406.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.51 | 49.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.80 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.73 |
| league points | 35.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 2.06 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.95 | -0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.53 | 26.09 |
| state index | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | -0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |