← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Dec 23, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Cosso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 60% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Lecco win | 16% | 6.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lecco −1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Venezia FC −1 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ (pen) | Franco Lepore · Lecco |
| 42' | 🟨 | Dennis Johnsen · Venezia FC |
| 57' | ⚽ | Dennis Johnsen · Venezia FC |
| 60' | ⚽ | Tanner Tessmann · Venezia FC |
| 63' | 🟨 | Mats Lemmens · Lecco |
| 71' | ⚽ | Artur Ioniță · Lecco |
| 87' | 🟨 | Umberto Eusepi · Lecco |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tanner Tessmann · Venezia FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mats Lemmens · Lecco |
| 90' | 🟥 | Mats Lemmens · Lecco |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Lecco |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 417.00 | 83.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1548.16 | 1438.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.76 | -16.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.41 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.63 |
| league points | 33.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.94 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.93 | 28.88 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |