← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Dec 23, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Spezia win | 22% | 4.57 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Cittadella −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Carissoni · Cittadella |
| 15' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Carriero · Cittadella |
| 42' | 🟨 | Federico Giraudo · Cittadella |
| 51' | 🟨 | Salvatore Elia · Spezia |
| 59' | 🟨 | Dimitris Nikolaou · Spezia |
| 61' | ⚽ | Luca Moro · Spezia |
| 75' | 🟨 | Petko Hristov · Spezia |
| 75' | ⚽ | Filippo Pittarello · Cittadella |
| 79' | 🟨 | Niccolò Pietra · Spezia |
| 81' | ⚽ | Filippo Pittarello · Cittadella |
| 86' | ⚽ | Tommy Maistrello · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 16 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 905.00 | 52.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1483.81 | 1486.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 45.64 | -0.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.90 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.76 |
| league points | 29.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.85 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.92 | 25.35 |
| state index | 0.54 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.68 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |