← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Dec 16, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Monaldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 54% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Feralpisalo win | 20% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese +0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Feralpisalo +0.5 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | David Okereke · Cremonese |
| 28' | ⚽ | Christos Kourfalidis · Feralpisalo |
| 35' | 🟨 | Leonardo Sernicola · Cremonese |
| 54' | 🟨 | Luka Lochoshvili · Cremonese |
| 88' | 🟨 | Giacomo Quagliata · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feralpisalo | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Leonardo Garilli |
| coach days | 76.00 | 106.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.00 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1379.01 | 1574.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.64 | 40.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | -0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| league points | 7.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 16.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.44 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.53 | 0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.28 | 28.23 |
| state index | -1.03 | 0.93 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.94 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.60 |