← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Dec 16, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Fourneau
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 38% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Reggiana win | 30% | 3.57 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Sampdoria +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Manuel De Luca · Sampdoria |
| 25' | 🟨 | Alessandro Marcandalli · Reggiana |
| 38' | 🟨 | Manolo Portanova · Reggiana |
| 44' | ⚽ | Pajtim Kasami · Sampdoria |
| 46' | ⚽ | Manuel De Luca · Sampdoria |
| 73' | 🟨 | Fabio Depaoli · Sampdoria |
| 75' | 🟨 | Edoardo Pieragnolo · Reggiana |
| 79' | 🟨 | Riccardo Fiamozzi · Reggiana |
| 79' | 🟨 | Antonino La Gumina · Sampdoria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Antonino La Gumina · Sampdoria |
| 90' | 🟥 | Antonino La Gumina · Sampdoria |
| 90' | ⚽ | Manolo Portanova · Reggiana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 198.00 | 198.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1384.12 | 1498.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.89 | 31.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.00 | 62.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.76 |
| league points | 17.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.76 | 0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.80 | 24.64 |
| state index | -0.75 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.75 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |