← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Dec 16, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Tremolada
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 56% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Sudtirol win | 17% | 6.07 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Venezia FC −0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Nicola Rauti · Sudtirol |
| 13' | ⚽ | Christian Gytkjær · Venezia FC |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Christian Gytkjær · Venezia FC |
| 52' | ⚽ | Silvio Merkaj · Sudtirol |
| 55' | 🟨 | Silvio Merkaj · Sudtirol |
| 76' | ⚽ (pen) | Daniele Casiraghi · Sudtirol |
| 85' | 🟨 | Dennis Johnsen · Venezia FC |
| 85' | 🟨 | Andrea Giorgini · Sudtirol |
| 89' | 🟨 | Simone Davì · Sudtirol |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marco Olivieri · Venezia FC |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| 90' | 🟥 | Marco Olivieri · Venezia FC |
| coach days | 410.00 | 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1561.77 | 1490.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.41 | -48.01 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | -0.93 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 42.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| league points | 33.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.06 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.99 | 28.16 |
| state index | 0.67 | -1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |